Dear Senators Hollings and McCain:
The more than 200 undersigned organizations urge Congress to enact
an emergency package of legislation to prevent the wholesale failure
of the strategically important U.S. airline industry. The now
obvious objectives of this reprehensible act-of-war on September
11 include crippling our economy. The U.S. airline industry is
an economic fulcrum that impacts all of our industries. Virtually,
all segments of the business travel industry stand behind our
airlines and are signatories to this letter-major buyers of air
transportation services, rental car, hotel, restaurant and travel
management companies as well as other concerned industry participants.
Airlines face the perfect storm with a drop off in business travel
earlier this year, record-setting labor contracts just taking
effect and now this national catastrophe that has frightened leisure
and business travelers away from airlines. Also, we do not yet
understand what a U.S. military response might do to the oil,
financial and other markets.
In addition to near-term revenues plummeting and expenses soaring,
this national tragedy forever changes the economics of the airline
industry and will require a top-to-bottom restructuring. Airlines
will not be able to return to full, pre attack schedules because
of new security procedures such as the requirement to sweep each
plane for explosives prior to departure. Unit costs will increase
substantially as the number of trips per day, per aircraft decreases.
Indeed, as frequencies on business routes are reduced airlines
will find themselves with the wrong type of equipment, namely
small instead of large jets. Most troublesome will be the deterioration
of the economics of markets of fewer than 500 miles in length.
Business travelers will likely opt for travel by car as new airport
security measures add an hour or more to the check-in process
and eliminate the time benefit of flying. If just a few full fare
business travelers per flight choose the automobile that can be
the difference between profit and loss.
The
immediate and direct economic impact of this national disaster
can be found in airline furloughs as evidenced by airline announcements
that tens of thousands of employees must go. More than 125,000
airline employees will likely lose jobs as a fundamental industry
downsizing and restructuring is painfully undertaken. The ripple
effect will be enormous accounting for as many as 500,000 additional
jobs lost as conventions are cancelled, rental car companies'
assets idled, hotel lobbies quieted and restaurants emptied.
Businesses
of all types and sizes are dependent on a financially viable airline
industry to service their customers and grow their businesses.
Likewise, thousands of communities will see business opportunities
evaporate and their standards of living decrease if airlines are
forced to eliminate vital links to the commercial centers of the
U.S. and the world.
Importantly,
1992 is often pointed to as the worst year in airline history
with airline industry losses pegged at $4.8 billion. Industry
observers point out that we may be headed for a comparably bad
year with a projected $5 billion dollar loss. However, the 1992
figure is overstated by some $2 billion because a balance sheet
adjustment (SFAS 106) was required for all industries to account
for future retiree benefits. Indeed, 2001 had already secured
its place in history as the worst year in aviation history prior
to September 11. Airlines face financial crisis.
The
economics, consumer benefits and the future of the airline industry
are forever changed. Looking long-term, we need financially healthy
networked international carriers, but we also require a vibrant
low-fare, point-to-point industry segment. Many of these carriers,
like failed Midway Airlines, do not possess the cash flows, cash
reserves or lines of credit to make it through this assault on
America. Even the legacy of deregulation, Southwest Airlines,
can fail. If we lose the low-fare segment of the industry to terrorism,
it is highly unlikely it will ever be replaced as the capitalization
requirements and market entry risks will have increased by an
order of magnitude.
Terrorists
turned our airlines into instruments of evil and destruction and
aimed them at our citizens, our national psyche and our economy.
The terrorists' aim of destroying the economic underpinnings of
the U.S. economy must be denied at all cost. The U.S. Congress
must act to avoid airline industry failure and to ensure its orderly
restructuring.
First, Congress must quickly define United's and American's liability
beyond their own aircraft, passengers and crew. The mere prospect
of these two airlines being liable for billions of dollars in
damage to the World Trade Center towers, other buildings and nearly
6,000 lives nearly guarantees their bankruptcy. The prospect of
bankruptcy will cause United's and American's lines of credit
to disappear, their shareholders to abandon them and their customers
to book future flights on other airlines.
Second,
Congress should include in a legislative package provisions to
rescind fuel and ticket taxes for all U.S. airlines. Third, airlines
require an immediate cash infusion of billions dollars to make
up for lost revenues over the next few months as fearful, shell
shocked travelers stay home. Finally, Congress should provide
low-interest loans to enable this strategically vital industry
to carry out the restructuring necessary for financial viability
in an inalterably changed industry.
While
we turn our attention to finding and responding to those responsible,
and to preventing further transgressions, we must also intently
focus on maintaining a strong system of air transportation, for
economic and national defense purposes. We must through intelligent
choices, and at all costs, rob these terrorists of the satisfaction
of bringing down our entire airline industry and our economy.